Now that the All-Star break has come and gone, it is time to look back at my predictions and how they relate to reality. Today, I'll take a look back at the AL. Remember, all predictions correct, or your money back!
AL East
Boston Red Sox
Predicted: 1st, 97-65
Current: 1st, 56-37
New York Yankees
Predicted: 2nd (WC), 91-71
Current: 2nd, 47-44 8 GB ALE, 7 GB WC
Toronto Blue Jays
Predicted: 3rd, 87-75
Current: 3rd, 45-48 11 GB ALE, 10 GB WC
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Predicted: 4th, 75-87
Current: 5th, 36-56 19.5 GB ALE, 18.5 GB WC
Baltimore Orioles
Predicted: 5th, 69-93
Current: 4th, 42-51 14 GB ALE, 13 GB WC
Analysis:
Boston/New York is shaping up pretty much as I had expected, and Toronto was in the right position, if not nearly close to the record I had them at. Tampa Bay showed me once again that any optimism on their part is not realistic.
AL Central
Detroit Tigers
Predicted: 1st, 94-68
Current: 1st, 55-36
Chicago White Sox
Predicted: 2nd, 92-70
Current: 4th, 41-51 14.5 GB ALC, 13.5 GB WC
Minnesota Twins
Predicted: 3rd, 84-78
Current: 3rd, 49-44 7 GB ALC, 6 GB WC
Cleveland Indians
Predicted: 4th, 79-83
Current: 2nd, 55-38 1 GB ALC, WC
Kansas City Royals
Predicted: 5th, 60-102
Current: 5th, 40-53 16 GB ALC, 15 GB WC
Analysis:
Hey, I got the Tigers, Twins, and Royals in the right position, didn't I. Yeah, my prediction on the White Sox was terrible, and probably wouldn't have been so high if, you know, I actually did any research in making these predictions. Royals fans can take comfort that they should be able to do better than my 60-102 prediction.
AL West
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Predicted: 1st, 90-72
Current: 1st, 55-37
Texas Rangers
Predicted: 2nd, 81-81
Current: 4th, 41-52 14.5 GB ALW, 14 GB WC
Oakland A's
Predicted: 3rd, 70-92
Current: 3rd, 44-50 12 GB ALW, 11.5 GB WC
Seattle Mariners
Predicted: 4th, 65-97
Current: 2nd, 52-39 2.5 GB ALW, 2 GB WC
Analysis:
Well, I picked the Angels to do well, and the A's are as mediocre as I predicted. The Mariners are a real surprise this year, and the Rangers are once again extending that World Series drought with an anemic 2007 performance.
With the three division leaders predicted correctly, that makes the NL Central the lone incorrect division leader. Here's hoping the Cubs will turn it around and make my prediction correct in that respect. As for the Wild Cards, the Phillies and (especially) the White Sox have some work to do.
Check back in October when these predictions actually mean something.
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